Bitcoin’s Growing Dominance: A Forecast of the Spot ETF Approval

Second-Quarter Surge: Bitcoin’s Market Share On the Rise

In the 2nd quarter of 2023, Bitcoin saw its market share surge by 5.4%. This increase, while significant on its own, comes with insights from top financial institutions that point to an even brighter future for the cryptocurrency.

Galaxy Digital’s CEO, Mike Novogratz, has mentioned in the company’s recent earnings call that he’s been receiving cues from insiders at BlackRock and Invesco. Their collective sentiment is that regulatory approval for a spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) seems imminent. These insiders strongly believe that it’s a “question of when not if.”

The anticipation has been further strengthened by the Bitcoin ETF applications from financial giants like BlackRock. These gestures have indeed begun swaying the sentiment in favor of Bitcoin among institutional investors, shedding a positive light on its future prospects.

The Bitcoin Price: A Prolonged Lull, but a Bright Horizon

While the buzz around institutional interests and ETFs rages on, data from the renowned on-chain analytics firm, Glassnode, gives a more grounded perspective. Glassnode’s latest report indicates that Bitcoin’s current price volatility, or rather the lack of it, might linger for another six months.

This sentiment echoes the previous patterns witnessed in Bitcoin’s volatility cycles. However, this should not be misconstrued as a lack of interest or momentum in the flagship cryptocurrency. The overarching institutional interest, especially the push for ETFs, provides an underlying momentum that could defy these patterns in the long run.

Grayscale vs. The SEC: The Fight for ETF Recognition

Michael Sonnenshein, the CEO of Grayscale, has been at the forefront of the tussle with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to convert the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust into an ETF. Despite the SEC’s pushback last year, the determination persists.

The market hangs in anticipation as Sonnenshein projects that a verdict might be delivered by this fall. Experts and analysts are leaning towards a favorable outcome for Grayscale. Elliot Stein, as quoted in a Bloomberg article and later tweeted by Greg Salm of Grayscale BTC, opined, “If the SEC loses its case against Grayscale, as anticipated, the path of least resistance would lead to a cascade of approvals for all spot Bitcoin ETF applicants.”

7 responses to “Bitcoin’s Growing Dominance: A Forecast of the Spot ETF Approval”

  1. […] stab at the world of cryptocurrencies. As our society grapples with the ever-evolving realm of Bitcoin and its contemporaries, Futurama looks centuries ahead to give us a comedic vision of […]

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  2. […] Grayscale Investments, a pivotal player in the crypto arena, has been vying to morph its Bitcoin BTC trust into a spot Bitcoin ETF. A verdict on its lawsuit against the federal securities regulator is anticipated shortly. According to Bernstein, the probability of a Bitcoin spot ETF gaining approval seems to be on an uptrend. If sanctioned, ETFs might encompass nearly 10% of Bitcoin’s market value in the next triennium. Gautam Chhugan, an analyst, underlined the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust’s significance—it accounts for around 4% of all circulating Bitcoin. Bernstein conjectures that a green signal from regulators could propel Bitcoin’s growth, magnetizing both retail and institutional investors. […]

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  3. […] Bitcoin’s potential has never been more evident, with forecasts pointing to soaring prices in 2024, driven by factors such as the possible approval of a US spot bitcoin ETF and the forthcoming halving event. Fundstrat’s Tom Lee, a well-respected figure in the financial space, weighs in on this optimistic outlook. […]

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  4. […] Tuesday, Grayscale, the entity behind the world’s most significant crypto fund, emerged victorious against the […]

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  5. […] petitioned the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for swift approval of its proposed Spot Bitcoin ETF. This plea comes in the wake of a monumental court decision that could revolutionize how Bitcoin is […]

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  6. […] a staggering $650 billion within half a decade. Central to this growth will be the introduction of spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds […]

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  7. […] a recent interview with CNBC, Michael Novogratz, CEO of Galaxy Digital, predicted a transformative boost for Bitcoin driven by the launch of options trading on Bitcoin […]

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